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	<title>The Picket Fence &#187; Kings</title>
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		<title>2011 NBA Draft Report Card!</title>
		<link>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/06/2011-nba-draft-report-card/</link>
		<comments>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/06/2011-nba-draft-report-card/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jun 2011 07:32:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim W.</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/?p=1330</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TORONTO: Exceeds Expectations 5. Jonas Valanciunas It&#8217;s deja vu all over again. Last year, a team above them unexpectedly took an athletic defensive power forward which resulted in a higher ranked big man unexpectedly falling to the Raptors. Colangelo and the Raptors brass probably can&#8217;t believe their luck. I was afraid they might still take Knight, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/boy_report_card_tough_spin_schoo_1188735.jpg" class="thickbox no_icon" rel="gallery-1330" title="boy_report_card_tough_spin_schoo_1188735"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1331" style="margin-bottom: 5px; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="boy_report_card_tough_spin_schoo_1188735" src="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/boy_report_card_tough_spin_schoo_1188735-300x214.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="214" /></a></p>
<p><strong>TORONTO: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>5. <strong>Jonas Valanciunas</strong></p>
<p>It&#8217;s deja vu all over again. Last year, a team above them unexpectedly took an athletic defensive power forward which resulted in a higher ranked big man unexpectedly falling to the Raptors. Colangelo and the Raptors brass probably can&#8217;t believe their luck. I was afraid they might still take Knight, but Colangelo showed he is indeed focused on the future, rather than the present.</p>
<p>Valanciunas will fill the void at center the Raptors have been lacking for, well, ever. While apparently a lot of Raptor fans are unhappy with the pick, I think they&#8217;ll eventually regret that as Valanciunas is the type of player that Raptor fans love. He&#8217;s a high energy player who hustles, defends and rebounds. English, though, is not his strong suit.</p>
<p>On the other hand, the pick they got from the Heat, which they traded to the Bulls for James Johnson, could have been used to pick Corey Joseph at 28, who went one spot later to the Spurs. Who knows if that&#8217;s who Colangelo would have picked, as he was projected to go in the second round, but I&#8217;ll certainly be comparing their careers. And since the Spurs are pretty much never wrong&#8230;</p>
<p>I would have liked to see them try and scoop up another pick, but it&#8217;s not a big deal that they didn&#8217;t.</p>
<p><strong>SAN ANTONIO: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>29. <strong>Cory Joseph</strong></p>
<p>Traded George Hill for Indiana&#8217;s 15th pick, <strong>Kawhi Leonard</strong>.</p>
<p>I assumed the Spurs would exceed expectations, and again they have. Trading for Leonard is huge, especially since he was projected to go in the top ten and dropped. He&#8217;s the type of defender than the Spurs love, is in the perfect situation, and should step in Bruce Bowen&#8217;s shoes, that have been empty for a few years.</p>
<p>If on of my sleepers, Toronto&#8217;s Cory Joseph couldn&#8217;t get drafted by the Raptors, then the Spurs would have been my second choice. And it&#8217;s incredible timing because they might have their replacement for Hill. Yes, he projected to go in the second round, but I think he has first round talent and so, apparently, do the Spurs.haunt them. Burks should be a decent player, but guys like him are a dime a dozen.</p>
<p><strong>CHARLOTTE: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>7. <strong>Bismack Biyombo</strong><br />
9. <strong>Kemba Walker </strong></p>
<p>Traded Stephen Jackson for Sacramento&#8217;s 7th pick and Corey Maggette.</p>
<p>Sold 39th pick, Jeremy Tyler to Golden State, I&#8217;m guessing for cash.</p>
<p>It hurts to say it, but Charlotte actually did well. I was surprised that they passed on Knight for Biyombo, as they&#8217;ve been looking for a real starting PG for, well, their entire existence, but they resisted temptation and went with a guy who I think will be better down the road. I also look forward to watching Biyombo and Tyrus Thomas being on the floor at the same time. The front row needs to watch out.</p>
<p>Maggette was a disaster in Milwaukee and now brings his brand of scoring and no defense to Charlotte. He&#8217;s probably going to lose games for them, but that&#8217;s kind of what they wanted, so maybe it&#8217;s a good thing?</p>
<p>Walker fell, but not as far as I thought he might. I think it&#8217;s still a pretty good pick at 9, but Charlotte seems to like picking decent PGs with little upside.</p>
<p><strong>CHICAGO: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>23. <strong>Nikola Mirotic</strong><br />
30. <strong>Jimmy Butler</strong></p>
<p>Traded 28th and 43rd picks for Houstons 23rd pick, Nikola Mirotic.</p>
<p>Butler was very efficient offensively at Butler, and is a very good defender, so the Bulls may have a sleeper on their hands.</p>
<p>How much do you think the Spurs are pissed at not getting Mirotic, who is exactly the type of player they usually scoop up at the end up the first round? He&#8217;s a huge steal, but will play overseas for a couple of more seasons. That&#8217;s fine with the Bulls.</p>
<p><strong>DENVER: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>22. <strong>Kenneth Faried</strong><br />
26. <strong>Jordan Hamilton<br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;">56. </span>Chukwudiebere Maduabum</strong></p>
<p>Traded Raymond Felton for Portland&#8217;s 26th pick, Jordan Hamilton, and Andre Miller.</p>
<p>Traded for Laker&#8217;s 56th pick, Chukwudiebere Maduabum, somehow.</p>
<p>Although I haven&#8217;t confirmed that Denver is, in fact, keeping Faried, if they do this was a very good draft day. I would have liked to have seen them get more for Felton, but Miller is a good, veteran PG that will probably be shipped elsewhere soon. Plus they were able to pick up another pick and a SF who has a chance to be a decent pro.</p>
<p>Faried is the type of player that everyone loves and helps you win. So why didn&#8217;t he go higher? Probably because he&#8217;s not a scorer and a little undersized.</p>
<p>I have no idea who Chukwudiebere Maduabum, but on his <a  href="http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Chu-Chu-Maduabum-6398/" target="_blank">Draft Express profile</a>, he&#8217;s listed as Chu Chu. I think he&#8217;s worthy of picking just for that. He immediately is in the running for best All-Tim NBA name.</p>
<p><strong>MEMPHIS: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>49. <strong>Josh Selby</strong></p>
<p>Selby was considered a first round talent, so this has to be considered a steal. Where they&#8217;ll find room for him, is another thing.<br />
<strong>DETROIT: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>8. <strong>Brandon Knight</strong><br />
33. <strong>Kyle Singler</strong><br />
52. <strong>Vernon Macklin</strong></p>
<p>Although I question whether he can play PG, Knight was projected to go in the top 5 and dropped to 8th, so Pistons fans have to be happy. Of course, he kind of presents the same problems that Rodney Stuckey, who&#8217;s also a combo guard they tried to turn into a point guard, did.</p>
<p>Singler is never going to be a star, but last year he was considered a middle first round pick and they got him in the second round. I think he&#8217;ll hang on and have a decent career as a bench player.</p>
<p><strong>DALLAS: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>Traded their 26th pick to Portland for Rudy Fernandez</p>
<p>The rich get richer. Dallas has no use for a rookie and no one picked there was going to help them like Fernandez. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if he ends up starting next year.</p>
<p><strong>LAKERS: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>41.<strong> Darius Morris</strong><br />
46. <strong>Andrew Goodelock</strong><br />
58. <strong>Ater Majok</strong></p>
<p>Without a first round pick, they were able to pick up a decent prospect, in Darius Morris. This might be the second year in a row they get at least one keeper from the second round.</p>
<p><strong>PHILADELPHIA: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Exceeds Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>16. <strong>Nikola Vucevic</strong><br />
50. <strong>Lavoy Allen</strong></p>
<p>Vucevic should end up being a pretty good pro and probable starter. At 16, in this draft, that&#8217;s pretty damn good.</p>
<p><strong>CLEVELAND: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>1.<strong> Kyrie Irving</strong><br />
4. <strong>Tristan Thompson<br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;">32.</span> Justin Harper </strong></p>
<p>Irving will probably be the best player, so it was no surprise he was the first pick.</p>
<p>Thompson was the first big surprise of the night. And while I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s a bad pick, since I think Thompson is going to be a very good pro, but he was a big reach at 3. Valanciunas would have made much more sense, but apparently Cleveland wants to make an impact immediately. Something they might regret down the line.</p>
<p>I think Cleveland should have offered Minnesota everything but it&#8217;s first pick to move up to 2 and draft Williams. If they had come out of the draft with Irving AND Williams, their future would have looked A LOT brighter.</p>
<p>Justin Harper is a stretch 4 that isn&#8217;t very big and probably won&#8217;t be much of a rebounder in the NBA. If he sticks, it&#8217;s because of his shooting. On Cleveland, that&#8217;s devoid of talent, he might, but with Antawn Jamison and J.J. Hickson as well as Anderson Varejao, who will probably be traded this summer, it&#8217;s puzzling why they&#8217;d take another power forward.</p>
<p><strong>NEW YORK: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>45. <strong>Josh Harrellson</strong></p>
<p>New York gets the guy Enes Kanter apparently made into the player he is today. So says Harrellson.</p>
<p><strong>MINNESOTA:</strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong> Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>2. <strong>Derrick Williams</strong></p>
<p>Traded Jonny Flynn for Houston&#8217;s 23rd pick, Nikola Mirotic, and Brad Miller.</p>
<p>For some reason the T-Wolves don&#8217;t end up with the 23d pick, so it&#8217;s basically a Flynn for Miller deal. Not sure why they&#8217;d do that.</p>
<p>Keeping Williams is the right move even though he doubles up on Beasley&#8217;s skills. He should be better than Bealsey and should give the Wolves some star power.</p>
<p><strong>UTAH: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>3. <strong>Enes Kanter<br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;">12. </span>Alec Burks </strong></p>
<p>Although a lot of people had Brandon Knight going to Utah for the months leading up to the draft, they apparently changed their mind with less than a week to go. And while I was a little missed he didn&#8217;t fall to the Raptors, I think Utah will be VERY happy they chose Kanter instead of Knight.</p>
<p>Of course, while I think they made the right decision at 3, passing up Leonard, who is probably exactly what the Jazz need, is probably going to</p>
<p><strong>OKLAHOMA CITY: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>27. <strong>Reggie Jackson</strong></p>
<p>Jackson is a combo guard who joins an already crowded Thunder backcourt. I really don&#8217;t know where he&#8217;ll find minutes. I wonder why Oklahoma didn&#8217;t simply trade out of the draft.</p>
<p><strong>PORTLAND: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>21. <strong>Nolan Smith</strong><br />
51. <strong>Jon Diebler</strong></p>
<p>Traded Andre Miller for Raymond Felton</p>
<p>Traded Rudy Fernandez to Dallas for 26th pick, which they gave to Denver in prearranged deal.</p>
<p>Getting Felton for Miller is a great deal for Portland. He might be the young point guard they&#8217;ve been looking for all these years.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, picking Nolan Smith over Faried, who they could really use, was a mistake.</p>
<p><strong>ORLANDO: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>53. <strong>DeAndre Liggins</strong></p>
<p>He&#8217;s a player that was on Kentucky, but now he&#8217;s not.</p>
<p><strong>ATLANTA: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Meets Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>48. <strong>Keith Benson</strong></p>
<p>He&#8217;s got legit size for an NBA power forward, and he&#8217;s stronger than he looks. For the 48th pick, the Hawks did well.</p>
<p>For a team hitting their ceiling, I would have liked to have seen them a little more active. Maybe after the new CBA is signed, whenever that happens.</p>
<p><strong>MIAMI: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>28. <strong>Norris Cole</strong></p>
<p>Somehow got the 28th pick from Chicago to draft Cole, a PG, who should provide insurance in case Bibby is not re-upped.</p>
<p><strong>BOSTON: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching  Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>27. <strong>JuJuan Johnson<br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;">55. </span>E&#8217;Twaun Moore </strong></p>
<p>Traded their 25th pick for the 27th pick.</p>
<p>Johnson is a decent player, but I don&#8217;t see him making any impact on the Celtics, either now or down the line. But would anyone else have?</p>
<p>Moore is an undersized shooting guard, but I&#8217;m guessing what attracted Boston was the ability to tell people they drafted JuJuan and E&#8217;Twaun. And both are American.</p>
<p><strong>MILWAUKEE: </strong><strong><span style="color: #ff0000;">Approaching Expectations</span></strong></p>
<p>19. <strong>Tobias Harris</strong><br />
40. <strong>John Leuer</strong></p>
<p>Traded Corey Maggette and 10th pick for Stephen Jackson and Charlotte&#8217;s 19th pick, Tobias Harris.</p>
<p>Getting rid of Maggette, who was a disaster, is good, but is Jackson really what they need? And how much longer does he have? Harris is a good pick, though, who&#8217;s been compared to Shane Battier.</p>
<p><strong>PHOENIX: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching  Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>13. <strong>Markieff Morris</strong></p>
<p>Morris might make a pretty good role player on a good team. Phoenix, however, needs home runs, not singles. They have a lot of role players and the engine that makes them go, Nash, is nearing the end of his career.</p>
<p><strong>GOLDEN STATE: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>11. <strong>Klay Thompson</strong><br />
37. <strong>Jeremy Tyler</strong><br />
44. <strong>Charles Jenkins</strong></p>
<p>So they STILL have Monta Ellis, yet decide to draft yet another shooter, while Kawhi Leonard  and Nikola Vucevic were still available. Thompson might be the best player available, for all I know, though, and if Jerry West thinks so, it&#8217;s probably true.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know about Tyler, though, who seems to have the physical tools, but needs maturity.</p>
<p><strong>WASHINGTON: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>6. <strong>Jan Vesely</strong><br />
18.<strong>Chris Singleton<br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;">34. </span></strong><strong>Shelvin Mack </strong></p>
<p>A lot of teams seemed high on Vesley, but I don&#8217;t understand the attraction to him. He&#8217;s 6&#8217;11 and athletic, but he&#8217;s not a great scorer, can&#8217;t shoot, isn&#8217;t a good ball handler, will probably struggle defensively at the 3 and is a poor rebounder for his size. He&#8217;s apparently got a good motor, though, and he&#8217;s got a very hot girlfriend, so those are both pluses.</p>
<p>Singleton was on my don&#8217;t draft list and I really don&#8217;t see how he&#8217;s going to play with Vesley. Neither can shoot, but Singleton has even fewer skills than Vesley.</p>
<p><strong>NEW JERSEY: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Approaching Expectations</strong></span></p>
<p>25. <strong>Marshon Brooks</strong><br />
36.<strong> Jordan Williams</strong></p>
<p>Traded their 27th pick, JaJuan Johnson for Boston&#8217;s 25th pick, Marshon Brooks</p>
<p>When I first saw a trade between Boston and New Jersey involving Brooks, I thought it was a blockbuster. No, it was not Brooks Lopez, but Marshon Brooks, who bring his great shooting and horrible defense to a bad defensive team.</p>
<p><strong>CLIPPERS: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Needs Improvement</strong></span></p>
<p>37. <strong>Trey Thompkins</strong><br />
47. <strong>Travis Leslie</strong></p>
<p>The Clippers traded away a unprotected lottery pick that ended up being Kyrie Irving, who&#8217;s probably just what the Clippers could have used to solidify them as one of the teams of the future. What they ended up drafting were two solid NCAA players with probably very little chance of sticking in the NBA.</p>
<p><strong>SACRAMENTO: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Needs Improvement</strong></span></p>
<p>10. <strong>Jimmer Fredette</strong><br />
35. <strong>Tyler Honeycutt</strong></p>
<p>Traded their 7th pick for Milwaukee&#8217;s 10th pick, Jimmer Fredette, and John Salmons</p>
<p>So, the Kings trade John Salmons away, only to trade back for him a couple of years later. And move down in the draft in order to do it. Fredette might be a great shooter, but I don&#8217;t see how he helps Sacramento. He&#8217;s not going to be a good defender and will do nothing for the chemistry. Keeping the pick and taking Knight or Walker would have been preferable.</p>
<p><strong>HOUSTON: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Needs Improvement</strong></span></p>
<p>14. <strong>Marcus Morris</strong><br />
38. <strong>Chandler Parsons</strong></p>
<p>Traded Brad Miller, the 23rd pick and a future first rounder for Minnesota&#8217;s 20th pick, <strong>Donatas Motiejunas</strong>, and Jonny Flynn.</p>
<p>Houston&#8217;s GM, Daryl Morey, intrigues me. He&#8217;s apparently a big advanced stats guy and was initially a guy a lot of Raptor fans wanted to replace Colangelo, but he makes the most head scratching trades. Motiejunas was another on my do not draft list. He doesn&#8217;t defend or rebound, but should be able to score a lot, which makes him basically a bigger version of Kevin Martin</p>
<p>Morris is, yet another young, decent power forward to join Houston&#8217;s stable of other decent, power forwards. Apparently you can never get enough of them.</p>
<p>Parsons is a typical Rocket small forward. he does a whole lot of things, but none of them really well.</p>
<p><strong>INDIANA: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Needs Improvement</strong></span></p>
<p>Traded their 15th pick, Kawhi Leonard, to the Spurs for George Hill</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t the Pacers already have enough PGs who aren&#8217;t really PGs? George Hill looked good in the Spurs system, but you need to watch out for those guys, because there&#8217;s a good chance he won&#8217;t look nearly as good out of it. And while the Pacers already have enough SFs, don&#8217;t they know not to trade a draft pick to the Spurs?</p>
<p><strong>NEW ORLEANS: </strong><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Incomplete</strong></span></p>
<p>Traded completely out of the draft by trading the 45th pick, Josh Harrellson, to the Knicks for cash.</p>
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		<title>Don&#8217;t Mock Me! (Plus rumours, predictions &amp; a final wish list)</title>
		<link>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/06/dont-mock-me-plus-rumours-predictions-a-final-wish-list/</link>
		<comments>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/06/dont-mock-me-plus-rumours-predictions-a-final-wish-list/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jun 2011 20:59:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim W.</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cavs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Draft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jazz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raptors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[T-Wolves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wizards]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/?p=1323</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s just hours away to the 2011 NBA Draft and this is when rumours and predictions start to get out of control. Anyone who&#8217;s working today who loves the draft as much as I do, won&#8217;t be getting much done today, I&#8217;m guessing. So let me give a final rundown of everything that&#8217;s been happening [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1324" style="margin-bottom: 5px; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="nba_draft_stage" src="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/nba_draft_stage-300x206.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="206" />It&#8217;s just hours away to the 2011 NBA Draft and this is when rumours and predictions start to get out of control. Anyone who&#8217;s working today who loves the draft as much as I do, won&#8217;t be getting much done today, I&#8217;m guessing.</p>
<p>So let me give a final rundown of everything that&#8217;s been happening today&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>FINAL MOCKS</strong></p>
<p>I looked at 8 of the more respected &#8220;mockers&#8221; to see what kinds of trends I was seeing, and try and figure out what it all means.</p>
<p>The &#8220;mockers&#8221; I looked at were <a  href="http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/draft2011/insider/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&#038;page=MockDraft-110623" target="_blank">ESPN&#8217;s Chad Ford</a>, <a  href="http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-mock-draft/2011/" target="_blank">Draft Express&#8217;s Jonathan Givony</a>, <a  href="http://www.nbadraft.net/2011-extended-mock-draft-61" target="_blank">NBADraft.net&#8217;s Aran Smith</a>, NBA.com&#8217;s<a  href="http://www.nba.com/2011/news/features/david_aldridge/06/23/mock-draft-3/index.html?ls=iref:nbahpt1" target="_blank"> David Aldridge</a> and <a  href="http://www.nba.com/2011/news/features/scott_howard_cooper/06/20/mock-draft-part-iv/index.html" target="_blank">Scott Howard Cooper</a>, <a  href="http://www.nba.com/2011/news/features/scott_howard_cooper/06/20/mock-draft-part-iv/index.html" target="_blank">CNN/SI&#8217;s Sam Amick</a>, <a  href="http://www.nbadraftinsider.com/2011-mock-draft/" target="_blank">NBA Draft Insider&#8217;s Kristofer Habbas</a> and <a  href="http://basketball.realgm.com/article/214288/2011_NBA_Draft_Version_50_(Day_Of_Edition)" target="_blank">RealGM&#8217;s Chris Riena</a>. Presumably, these guys are plugged in enough that they&#8217;re basing their selections on what they hear as much as where think just think player&#8217;s might go.</p>
<p>So it seems that, despite <a  href="http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/30590/sources-wolves-considering-kanter-at-no-2" target="_blank">rumours to the contrary</a>, the top two selections will be Kyrie Irving and Derrick Williams. That makes sense since, however much I like Enes Kanter, he&#8217;s too much of a question mark to take ahead of Williams.</p>
<p>And 6 of the 8 say Kanter&#8217;s going to Utah, who at one point were assumed to be taking Brandon Knight. I think Kanter working out against other big men helped his cause, whereas Knight refusing to work out against other point guards might have hurt his stock.</p>
<p>I find it amazing that despite Valanciunas not being able to play in the NBA next year, he&#8217;s still projected to be a top 5 pick. Does that say more about his talent or more about the weakness of this draft? Probably a mixture of both. The fact that the Spurs were rumoured to want to move up to get him probably has helped his stock more than anything. Hell, as soon as I heard that&#8217;s who the Spurs were targeting, any questions I had about him went out the window.</p>
<p>So there is little doubt that if Irving, Williams and Valanciunas are the top 4 picks, Knight is going to go 5th, and that seems to be consensus. The Raptors are apparently high on him and would be thrilled if he dropped.</p>
<p>That leaves Washington apparently selecting Jan Vesley, or so 7 of the 8 mock drafts say. After that, things get murky. Some think Kemba Walker is next, others think he drops out of the top ten.</p>
<p>So after all that, here are a few predictions of my own.</p>
<p><strong>SURE-FIRE ALL STARS</strong></p>
<p>None. I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s a player in this draft you can say is definitely going to be an All Star.</p>
<p><strong>POTENTIAL ALL STARS</strong></p>
<p>Kyrie Irving</p>
<p>Derrick Williams</p>
<p>Enes Kanter</p>
<p>Jonas Valanciunas</p>
<p>I think these guys will end up being the four best players from this draft, which is probably not much of a prediction since they are predicted to go in the top 4.  Valanciunas slips into this category solely on the back of the San Antonio Spurs apparently wanting him. If I&#8217;ve learned anything from previous drafts, it&#8217;s that the Spurs know what they are doing.</p>
<p><strong>COULD GO EITHER WAY</strong></p>
<p>Brandon Knight</p>
<p>Bismack Biyombo</p>
<p>Kawhi Leonard</p>
<p>Kemba Walker</p>
<p>Just about everyone has major question marks in this draft, but outside of the top 4, it&#8217;s these guys who I think have the best chance to become career starters. Or they could struggle to find their niche and end up as journeymen, if they&#8217;re lucky. This is when GMs earn their stripes and why I don&#8217;t envy the decision they have to make.</p>
<p>I can see Knight as an All-Star, but I also wonder whether he is any different from <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bayleje01.html" target="_blank">Jerryd  Bayless</a>, when he was drafted.</p>
<p>Biyombo could become <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wallabe01.html" target="_blank">Ben  Wallace</a> or <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/senesa01.html" target="_blank">Mouhamed  Sene</a>.</p>
<p>Leonard might be a game changing defender and rebounder at the SF position, or if he can&#8217;t find a shot, is he any better than <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian  Wright</a>?</p>
<p>Walker has the best pedigree of anyone and dominated in college, but I wonder if he&#8217;ll have more of a career like <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/k/knighbr01.html" target="_blank">Brevin  Knight</a> or <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/stoudda01.html" target="_blank">Damon  Stoudamire</a>.</p>
<p><strong>SAFE PICKS</strong></p>
<p>Tristan Thompson</p>
<p>Nikola Vucevic</p>
<p>Kenneth Faried</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know if ANYONE is a safe pick in this draft, but I think a team selecting any one of these guys can&#8217;t go wrong. I can see each one having a long, productive career.</p>
<p><strong>QUESTION MARKS</strong></p>
<p>Just about everyone else.</p>
<p><strong>AVOID AT ALL COSTS</strong></p>
<p>Chris Singleton</p>
<p>Donatas Motiejunas</p>
<p>Jeremy Tyler</p>
<p>For very different reasons. I love defensive players, but Singleton is another one of those defending wings who can&#8217;t shoot that never seem to find a place in the NBA. Motiejunas&#8217;s ceiling is said to be Andrea Bargnani. Enough said? Tyler has the physical tools to be an All-Star center and the mental tools to become <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/o/obryapa01.html" target="_blank">Patrick  O&#8217;Bryant</a>.</p>
<p><strong>SLEEPERS</strong></p>
<p>Nikola Mirotic</p>
<p>Isaiah Thomas</p>
<p>Cory Joseph</p>
<p>Mirotic won&#8217;t be coming over from Europe right away, but he&#8217;s a talented big man who likes to play inside. What do you want a bet the Spurs scoop him up? Thomas is very undersized but would probably be a lottery pick if he were 3 inches taller. Joseph, I think, suffered from not playing PG for Texas, but is one of the better defenders and shooters at that position.</p>
<p><strong>PLAYER MOST LIKELY TEAMS WILL REGRET PASSING HIM UP IF HE DROPS</strong></p>
<p>Jonas Valanciunas</p>
<p>He&#8217;s predicted to go in the top four, but if teams pass up on him because he won&#8217;t play in the NBA next year it will be a mistake. Especially considering that there might not even BE an NBA season next year.</p>
<p><strong>PLAYER MOST LIKELY TO DROP LIKE <a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nelsoja01.html" target="_blank">JAMEER NELSON</a></strong></p>
<p>Kemba Walker</p>
<p>PGs always seem to either rise (<a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/f/flynnjo01.html" target="_blank">Jonny  Flynn</a>) or drop (<a  href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/holidjr01.html" target="_blank">Jrue  Holiday</a>) unexpectedly. It&#8217;s my bet Kemba will be it this year. He&#8217;s a junior (strike against) who doesn&#8217;t have great physical stats who a lot of people question whether he&#8217;ll be able to get his shot off like he could in college. However much I question whether he can find a role in the NBA, I think if he drops out of the 10 top, some NBA team is going to be very lucky.</p>
<p><strong>RUMOURS</strong></p>
<p>Far too many to list here, but here&#8217;s what I have grasped so far. About the ONLY picks not in play in the top ten is the #1 pick. Minnesota has been in various discussions to move down with just about everyone, but I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see them end up keeping the pick. In fact it wouldn&#8217;t shock me to no top ten picks being traded. I think what happens is teams end up overvaluing their picks, especially when they&#8217;re getting so many offers for them.</p>
<p><strong>FINAL WISH LIST FOR THE RAPTORS</strong></p>
<p>What I&#8217;d like to see is them either move up to grab Kanter, or for Kanter to fall to fifth. Outside of that, I&#8217;d like to see them try and pick up another top 10 pick. I&#8217;d also LOVE to see a deal involving Bargnani.</p>
<p>What I most definitely do not want to see is for the Raptors to trade down. Teams that trade down almost always simply end up getting a worse player. Yes, they can pick up another asset, but it would most likely be a mediocre talent, something they have enough of and something that really isn&#8217;t hard to find.</p>
<p>So here&#8217;s my list of players, in order.</p>
<p>Enes Kanter</p>
<p>Jonas Valanciunas</p>
<p>Bismack Biyombo</p>
<p>Kawhi Leonard</p>
<p>Brandon Knight</p>
<p>Kemba Walker</p>
<p><a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/06/last-minute-wish-list/">Last year, I got my wish</a>. Let&#8217;s hope history repeats itself.</p>
<p>Tomorrow morning, check back for my Draft Report Card.</p>
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		<title>Trades, Trades and More Trades!</title>
		<link>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/02/trades-trades-and-more-trades/</link>
		<comments>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/02/trades-trades-and-more-trades/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Feb 2011 08:16:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim W.</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/?p=1261</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It says something about me that my three favourite times of the year, in the NBA, are the Playoffs, the Draft and just before the trade deadline. It&#8217;s like Christmas three times a year, but my bank account doesn&#8217;t get drained by it. Like my offseason grades, I&#8217;m going to look at each team and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It says something about me that my three favourite times of the year, in the NBA, are the Playoffs, the Draft and just before the trade deadline. It&#8217;s like Christmas three times a year, but my bank account doesn&#8217;t get drained by it.</p>
<p>Like my offseason grades, I&#8217;m going to look at each team and look at what they did as a whole, starting with the Raptors&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>TORONTO: Incomplete</strong></p>
<p><em>- James Johnson for Heat&#8217;s 2011 First Round Pick</em></p>
<p>For the Raptors, they didn&#8217;t make a big splash, but they did make one trade. Miami&#8217;s first round pick in the upcoming draft for James Johnson. To be honest, I was not a fan of Johnson coming out of Wake Forest. It didn&#8217;t instil me with confidence when both his name and Earl Clark&#8217;s were both mentioned as possibilities for the 9th pick that was eventually used to pick DeMar DeRozan. Both Johnson and Clark had fatal flaws that I turn me right off prospects. Things like &#8220;Low Basketball IQ&#8221;, or &#8220;Lack of Defensive Fundamentals&#8221; or worst of all, &#8220;Lack of Focus&#8221;. The &#8220;focus&#8221; issue is something that scares me off more than anything. This is actually something I&#8217;m going to discuss in a later post, but suffice is to say, I wasn&#8217;t a James Johnson fan.</p>
<p>Now, I&#8217;m giving Toronto an incomplete grade on this for a couple of reasons. The first is that no one really knows what kind of player James Johnson is. Yes, I know he played well in his Raptor debut against his old team, the Bulls, but that was one game. Let&#8217;s see how he does for the remaining 24 before we make any judgements.</p>
<p>The other reason they get an incomplete is because we really don&#8217;t know whether this draft is going to be as bad as people seem to think it is going to be. And that&#8217;s not just the players, but the value of the draft picks. Right now, it seems draft picks for the upcoming draft are being given away like Carmelo Anthony Nugget jerseys. Personally, I would have liked to see if the Heat pick could have been packaged to move up in the draft, or to try and draft a sleeper. Still, I don&#8217;t dislike the trade because the Heat&#8217;s pick looks like it&#8217;s going to be around 27, and the chances of finding a quality player that far down is extremely slim, especially if this draft is as bad as people say.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll say this, if Johnson continues to play like he did in his debut, then this trade is a home run. He showed everything the Raptors lack, and he&#8217;ll be given every chance.</p>
<p><strong>OKLAHOMA CITY: Exceeds Expectations</strong></p>
<p><em>- Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson for Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic</em></p>
<p><em></em><em>- Nazr Mohommed for Morris Peterson and D.J. White </em></p>
<p>This past summer, I<a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/09/grading-the-offseason-17-10/"> gave the Thunder a &#8220;Meets Expectations&#8221; grade</a> because, while they made some good moves, they failed to fill the hole in the middle. With the only good defensive player in the middle being Serge Ibaka, and Cole Aldrich looking like a potential bust, the Thunder desperately needed another good big man. I suggested, before the New Year, <a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/12/top-5-trades-that-need-to-happen-in-201/">trading Jeff Green, Aldrich and a 1st round pick to Cleveland for Anderson Varejao</a>, but Varejao&#8217;s season ending injury pretty much killed that possibility. Instead of Varejao, they went out and got Kendrick Perkins.</p>
<p>Am I the only one who thinks this might shift the balance of power in the West?</p>
<p>Oklahoma&#8217;s biggest weakness this year has been their defense. They can score, but with Green and Krstic as their starting front court, they had trouble stopping people.</p>
<p>Now they have one of the best defensive centers in the league, in Perkins, and one of the best up and coming defensive big men in the league, in Ibaka. While they still lack a true low post scoring threat, a fact that might haunt them come the playoffs, this could be the move that launches them from pretender to true contender. Especially in the West where San Antonio and the Lakers are the two teams you have to go through. Now oklahoma can match their size.</p>
<p>And then they grabbed Nazr Mohammed as Perkins&#8217; backup. Yes, Nazr is vastly overpaid, but it&#8217;s expiring, so it doesn&#8217;t matter.</p>
<p>The only question is whether or not Perkins is healthy. If he is, then Oklahoma made out the best of anyone.</p>
<p><strong>DENVER: Exceeds Expectations</strong></p>
<p><em>- </em><em>Danilo Gallinari, </em><em>Wilson Chandler, </em><em>Raymond Felton, </em><em>Timofey Mozgov, </em><em>Kosta Koufos, K</em><em>nicks first-round pick (2014 or later) and the </em><em>Warriors&#8217; second-round picks in 2012 and 2013 for Carmelo Anthony, </em><em>Chauncey Billups, </em><em>Shelden Williams, </em><em>Renaldo Balkman and </em><em>Anthony Carter</em></p>
<p><a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/02/carmelo-the-fallout-and-why-i-hate-the-all-star-game-2/">I already discussed this deal</a>, but I&#8217;ll just say that with their back against the wall and everyone knowing where Carmelo would eventually go, Denver did very well. I thought they had secured 2 first round picks, but apparently not. Still staying out of this year&#8217;s draft probably isn&#8217;t such a bad thing. They got some nice young talent they can eventually flip for something, or try and develop themselves. Either way, they&#8217;ve got a lot of choices, now. And they&#8217;ll probably still compete for a playoff spot with the talent they have.</p>
<p><strong>NEW JERSEY: Exceeds Expectations</strong></p>
<p><em>- Deron Williams for </em><em>Devin Harris, </em><em>Derrick Favors and t</em><em>wo 2011 first-round picks</em></p>
<p><em></em><em>- </em><em>Brandan Wright and </em><em>Dan Gadzuric for Troy Murphy and Net&#8217;s 2112 second-round pick</em></p>
<p>No deal has ever surprised me like Deron Williams going to the Nets. In this day and age, where everyone seems to know everything, that one came out of left field. And without any warning. Personally, I think Deron might be a better player than Anthony, but either way, I think he&#8217;s going to help the team more than Anthony ever could. He makes his teammates better and should be able to attract some talent to the Nets, something they failed to do this past summer.</p>
<p>Getting Williams was certainly a risk. Favors could blow up to be a great player and they gave up their lottery pick in the upcoming draft, which apparently has no protection, plus Golden State&#8217;s protected pick next year. Plus, Williams might just leave in a year and a half. But I doubt it.</p>
<p>And getting something for Troy Murphy was pretty good. Wright can&#8217;t seem to stay healthy, but there was a time when he held a lot of promise. New Jersey can afford to gamble on him.</p>
<p><strong>HOUSTON: Exceeds Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Hasheem Thabeet, DeMarre Carroll and Memphis&#8217; first-round pick for Shane Battier and Ishmael Smith</em></p>
<p><em>- Goran Dragic and Phoenix&#8217;s protected first-round pick for Aaron Brooks</em></p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been a fan of Battier since his days at Duke, and would love him to eventually go to a real contender, where he deserves, but Houston was not going to make the playoffs, and he probably wasn&#8217;t going to return as a free agent this summer. Getting a project like Thabeet is a low risk gamble that could pay off big, especially if he fulfills the expectations that made him a 2nd pick.</p>
<p>Brooks, on the other hand, is the type of PG I dislike. He&#8217;s a shoot first PG that makes his teammates grumble with his shot selection and unwillingness to pass. Yes, he can score, but I like my PGs to make everyone else better, and Brooks doesn&#8217;t do that.</p>
<p>Plus, they got a couple of first round picks. Not a bad days work.</p>
<p><strong>PORTLAND: Meets Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Gerald Wallace for </em><em>Joel Przybilla, </em><em>Dante Cunningham, </em><em>Sean Marks and t</em><em>wo first-round draft picks</em></p>
<p>Portland got exceptionally better, and gave up very little. Wallace can play PF and give them a small lineup that can still rebound, or play SF and give them a big lineup. With Roy still a question mark, getting a guy like Wallace, who can score, rebound and defend, was important. Plus, he&#8217;s only 28 despite being the league 9 years.</p>
<p><strong>CLIPPERS: Meets Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Mo Williams and Jamario Moon for Baron Davis and the Clipper&#8217;s 2011 first-round pick</em></p>
<p>Another surprise, since Baron Davis had been playing fairly well recently. Of course, the smart GM would use that opportunity to trade him. Who knew the Clippers had a smart GM?</p>
<p>One of the worst things the Clippers have done in the last decade (and there&#8217;s been a lot to choose from) might have been giving Davis that huge contract. In 11 seasons in the NBA, Davis has had exactly one exceptional season where he was completely healthy. The season before the Clippers signed him away from Golden State.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve never been a fan of Mo Williams but if it&#8217;s a choice between him for 3 more years at $8.5 million and Baron Davis for 3 more years at $14 million, I&#8217;m going to choose Mo every time. And while giving up a lottery pick might seem like a steep price to get rid of Davis, the last thing the Clippers need right now is another young player, and no one&#8217;s liking the look of this draft, so it might end up being worthless, anyway.</p>
<p><strong>ATLANTA: Meets Expectation</strong>s</p>
<p>- <em>Kirk Hinrich and Hilton Armstrong for Mike Bibby, Maurice Evans, Jordan Crawford and Atlanta&#8217;s 2011 first-round pick</em></p>
<p>I thought trading for Bibby a few years ago was fantastic for the Hawks. They desperately needed a veteran PG and Bibby had been in the playoff trenches. But he&#8217;s not the player he once was, and his defense is now pretty much non existent. Hinrich is a massive upgrade, and is an excellent defense. Plus, like Bibby, he doesn&#8217;t need the ball to be effective, which is important playing next to Joe Johnson.</p>
<p><strong>NEW YORK: Meets Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Carmelo Anthony, </em><em>Chauncey Billups,</em><em>Shelden Williams, </em><em>Renaldo Balkman and </em><em>Anthony Carter</em> for <em>Danilo Gallinari, </em><em>Wilson Chandler, </em><em>Raymond Felton, </em><em>Timofey Mozgov, </em><em>Kosta Koufos, K</em><em>nicks first-round pick (2014 or later) and the </em><em>Warriors&#8217; second-round picks in 2012 and 2013</em></p>
<p>As I said, <a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2011/02/carmelo-the-fallout-and-why-i-hate-the-all-star-game-2/">I already discussed this deal</a>, and New York obviously came out of the trade with the best player, but I&#8217;m not convinced New York is ever going to be a serious contender with Anthony and Amare.</p>
<p><strong>NEW ORLEANS: Meets Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Carl Landry for Marcus Thornton</em></p>
<p>I&#8217;m not a big fan of either of these guys, but Thornton wasn&#8217;t getting any time because he apparently doesn&#8217;t play defense, and New Orleans is sorely lacking inside scoring. Enter Landry, who doesn&#8217;t rebound and isn&#8217;t a great defender, but can score inside.</p>
<p><strong>CHICAGO: Meets Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Miami&#8217;s 2011 first-round pick for James Johnson</em></p>
<p>Johnson was obviously not going to break into the Bulls&#8217; lineup, so getting a first round pick was probably the best thing they could have done.</p>
<p><strong>MEMPHIS: Approaching Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em><em>Shane Battier and Ishmael Smith for <em><em>Hasheem Thabeet, DeMarre Carroll and Memphis&#8217; first-round pick</em></em></em></em></p>
<p>Giving up Thabeet and a first-round pick was a big gamble for a player who might not eve re-sign with Memphis this summer, but Battier is exactly the type of player they need. A steady, smart veteran who doesn&#8217;t need the ball to be effective and who knows how to win. Memphis obviously hopes he&#8217;ll rub off on everyone else on the team.</p>
<p>I still think they should have traded Zach Randolph while his stock was so high.</p>
<p><strong>BOSTON: Approaching Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em><em>Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic</em><span style="font-style: normal;"> for </span></em><em><em>Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson</em></em></p>
<p><em><em>- Sacramento&#8217;s second-round pick for </em></em><em><em>Marquis Daniels</em></em></p>
<p><em><em>- Cleveland&#8217;s second-round pick for </em>Semih Erden and L</em><em>uke Harangody</em></p>
<p>When Kendrick Perkins got injured a couple of seasons ago in the playoffs, it cost the Celtics the title. He might be one of the best centers in the league at defending Dwight Howard. Trading away a very good defensive center in his prime is a huge, huge risk. One I think might come back to haunt the Celtics.</p>
<p>I like Jeff Green, and I think not being forced to play PF will do him a world of good, and I think he&#8217;s a very good defender at the SF position, but basically the Celtics gave up a starter for a bench player. They are going to have to rely on Shaq a lot more at center, and this quote from Doc Rivers doesn&#8217;t do a lot for me: &#8221;Shaq&#8217;s a key component of this,&#8221; said Rivers. &#8220;We need to get Shaq healthy and Shaq will be healthy. If Shaq plays great, this deal was actually really good for us. That&#8217;s on Shaq. We have to get Shaq in great shape, get him ready, get him healthy. He&#8217;s really going to be important for us in the playoffs.&#8221;</p>
<p>Plus, the Celtics are going to have two players (Shaq and Rondo) who can&#8217;t hit free throws. You don&#8217;t think that might hurt them?</p>
<p><strong>SACRAMENTO: Approaching Expectations</strong></p>
<p><em>- Marcus Thornton for Carl Landry</em></p>
<p><em>- Marquis Daniels for a second-round pick</em></p>
<p>I&#8217;m not quite sure why Sacramento would want Thornton or Daniels, since they already have Evans Casspi and Garcia, but I guess they didn&#8217;t give up much, so why not.</p>
<p><strong>MINNESOTA: Approaching Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Anthony Randolph and Eddy Curry for Corey Brewer</em></p>
<p>Yes, Minnesota is acquiring assets, but Corey Brewer is more productive than Anthony Randolph, and Minnesota agreed to take on Eddy Curry to get him. Randolph better end up panning out.</p>
<p><strong>WASHINGTON: Approaching Expectations</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Mike Bibby, Maurice Evans, Jordan Crawford and Atlanta&#8217;s 2011 first-round pick for Kirk Hinrich and Hilton Armstrong</em></p>
<p>I find it hard to believe that the best Washington could have gotten for Hinrich was Mike Bibby and another year of his contract and a late first-round pick in a bad draft. It&#8217;s not bad, but I wouldn&#8217;t say it was good, either.</p>
<p><strong>CLEVELAND: WHY??????</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Baron Davis  and the Clippers 2011 first-round pick for Mo Williams and Jamario Moon</em></p>
<p><em>- <em>Semih Erden and L</em><em>uke Harangody for a second-round pick</em></em></p>
<p>I can understand wanting to get the Clippers first round pick (probably a top 10 pick), but is it really worth taking on Baron Davis when you couldn&#8217;t even get rid of Antoine Jamison and his awful contract?</p>
<p><strong>PHOENIX: Your Kid Is A Moron</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Aaron Brooks for Goran Dragic and Phoenix&#8217;s protected first-round pick</em></p>
<p>I have absolutely no idea what Phoenix is doing. Brooks is a brutal PG because he can&#8217;t pass, so he&#8217;s the anti-Nash. And they gave up a first round pick when they should be collecting them.</p>
<p><strong>UTAH: Incomplete</strong></p>
<p>- <em>Devin Harris, </em><em>Derrick Favors and t</em><em>wo 2011 first-round picks</em> for <em>Deron Williams</em></p>
<p>As I previously said, this trade came out of nowhere, and I&#8217;m not quite sure how I feel about it from Utah&#8217;s perspective. If Williams was indeed on his way out of town, as some have said, then trading him now was a fantastic idea. And getting what they did for him was very good. Personally, I liked the Nets offer for Carmelo better than the Knicks, and the Jazz ended up getting it.</p>
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		<title>Explain Yourself!</title>
		<link>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/11/explain-yourself/</link>
		<comments>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/11/explain-yourself/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Nov 2010 06:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim W.</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Kings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raptors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/?p=1073</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Blogger&#8217;s note: This post will be my last one about Bargnani for a long time. I will continue to post, and mention him if I absolutely have to, but I&#8217;ll limit my criticism and avoid discussing him whenever possible. Okay, so I&#8217;ve gotten a bit of flak for blaming Bargnani for the Raptors loss yesterday [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Blogger&#8217;s note: This post will be my last one about Bargnani for a long time. I will continue to post, and mention him if I absolutely have to, but I&#8217;ll limit my criticism and avoid discussing him whenever possible. </em></p>
<p><a  href="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/mywitchhunt.jpg" class="thickbox no_icon" rel="gallery-1073" title="Witch Hunt"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1081" style="margin: 5px;" title="Witch Hunt" src="http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/mywitchhunt-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="225" /></a>Okay, so I&#8217;ve gotten a bit of flak for blaming Bargnani for the Raptors loss yesterday against the Kings. Apparently I&#8217;m on a witch hunt. I&#8217;ve ignored other players screwing up so I can continue my criticism of Bargnani. Is that right?</p>
<p>Well, believe it or not, I was actually going to try going easier on Bargnani, which pretty much meant ignoring him as much as I could.  I had been accused of being a broken record and people pretty much had heard everything I wanted to say. The dead horse was starting to smell. I get that.</p>
<p>And then the Kings game happened. It was the last straw.</p>
<p>Now, obviously I don&#8217;t believe that everyone else, except Bargnani, played well. If they had they simply wouldn&#8217;t have lost the 17 point lead. I mean, Jack, Kleiza, Evans, Barbosa and Weems shot a combined 13-43. That&#8217;s bad shooting, but it&#8217;s not as if any of those players will make it a habit of shooting 30% from the field. If they did, then they would be sitting on the bench, rather than playing in the game. And I admit I may have given Kleiza a bit too much praise for what wasn&#8217;t a good night for him. I thought it was a fair night, though. I would have liked to see better shooting, but he took good shots and played hard.</p>
<p>There are certain things you live with. You live with bad shooting nights, because you know they&#8217;re inevitable. You live with opposing players having good shooting nights because it happens. You can live with a bad bounce, or a borderline foul call as long as your team plays hard and smart.</p>
<p>What you can&#8217;t live with is when something happens that absolutely shouldn&#8217;t. You DON&#8217;T foul a three point shooter, you DON&#8217;T foul a good free throw shooter late in the shot clock, you DON&#8217;T let a guy drive to the basket without challenging him and you DON&#8217;T give up an offensive board in crunch time. Those are unforgivable transgressions and ones that winning teams simply don&#8217;t do.</p>
<p>And while this was one game, it&#8217;s more than this one game.</p>
<p>In basketball, and especially the NBA, wins and losses are usually decided by a few possessions. What a team does in those few possessions separate the good teams from the bad teams.</p>
<p>Last year, Dallas had a point differential of +2.7 and won 50 games. Toronto, on the other hand, had a point differential of -1.8 and won just 40 games and missed out on the playoffs. It&#8217;s not a huge difference. Just a missed shot here, a missed defensive rotation there and a missed rebound. In the end, that&#8217;s the difference between a good team and a bad team.</p>
<p>Good coaching obviously has something to do with that, as does talent, but when it comes down to winning and losing, it&#8217;s usually not the most talented that wins, but the team that simply does the little things when they need to be done.</p>
<p>This gets us to Bargnani. Obviously Bargnani is a very good scorer. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised at all if he ended up averaging 20+ ppg this season. There aren&#8217;t a whole lot of players in the league that can do that. I&#8217;ve never had much of an issue of his offense.</p>
<p>Rebounding and team defense are a different story, though. It&#8217;s undeniable he&#8217;s a poor rebounder. You can make up any excuse you want, but in the end, it&#8217;s apparent to anyone that Bargnani is not a good rebounder. And his team defense, to anyone who knows the game, is also quite poor.</p>
<p>One of the mantras of Raptor fans is that if you surround him with players that will hide his deficiencies, he can be great. So now, he&#8217;s playing beside Reggie Evans, who is currently leading the league in rebounding at 16.3 a game. This is a man who dominates the boards. Evans, in fact, is basically the anti-Bargnani. He rebounds with a vengeance, hustles like no one else and can&#8217;t hit a shot to save his life. In fact, as much as Bargnani is a liability on the boards and the defensive end, Evans is a liability on offense. So much so, in fact, that he&#8217;s shooting just 40% from the line and an even worse 27% from the field. These are historically bad numbers.</p>
<p>With Evans playing 30 mpg and starting next to Bargnani, the Raptors have outrebounded their opponent in two of their first three games, this season. So obviously the tactic works, right?</p>
<p>Well, not quite.</p>
<p>See, the problem is not the average, but what happens when it matters, which gets us back to what separates a good team from a bad team.</p>
<p>What we saw against the Kings in crunch time is the exact problem with believing that other players will hide another player&#8217;s deficiencies. Eventually, that player is exposed, and it&#8217;s often at the worst time. It&#8217;s why you don&#8217;t want Evans on the floor in crunch time. You can surround him with great scorers, but eventually the ball is going to get into his hands and the opposing team is either going to dare him to shoot or simply foul him to send him to the line.</p>
<p>And the same is true of Bargnani. He&#8217;s not going to be able to rely on Reggie, or anyone else to box out his man or make the correct rotation for him when he needs to. And in crunch time, his liabilities become magnified, just as they did against the Kings.</p>
<p>So did I overreact a little when it came to Bargnani losing the game for the Raptors? Yes and no. Yes, because it obviously wasn&#8217;t completely Bargnani&#8217;s fault, but no because Bargnani is the player who made the most fatal mistake when it mattered most. And it&#8217;s why I truly believe you simply can never win if he&#8217;s going to be a big part of your team. And while it doesn&#8217;t matter as much this year, since the Raptors don&#8217;t really have any playoff hopes, it makes me question why so many consider him part of the future foundation of the team.</p>
<p>So, as promised, I won&#8217;t speak of Bargnani anymore, at least for a long while. I do promise to write as interesting posts as possible, however, on a variety of other subject, including, but limited to, the Raptors.</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><em>DROPBOX TIP</em></p>
<p><em>Installing Dropbox on both your home computer and computer at work means that you can work on a file at work, go home and pick up where you left off at home. Or visa versa. Plus, if you store your music in your Dropbox folder, you can listen to your music at work.</em></p>
<p><em>First you have to </em><a  href="http://www.dropbox.com/referrals/NTM2Mzg2MTk" target="_blank"><em>sign up</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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		<title>How To Score 28 Points and Lose the Game For Your Team</title>
		<link>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/11/how-to-score-28-points-and/</link>
		<comments>http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/2010/11/how-to-score-28-points-and/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Nov 2010 06:50:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim W.</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Kings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raptors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wearingfilm.com/picketfence/?p=1066</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dear Mr. Bargnani, I&#8217;ve been told I&#8217;ve been way too hard on you. I&#8217;ve been told that I&#8217;ve focused too much on your inability to rebound and play team defense and not enough on your impressive array of offensive skills. I&#8217;ve been told that you have such an innate ability to affect the game on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear Mr. Bargnani,</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been told I&#8217;ve been way too hard on you. I&#8217;ve been told that I&#8217;ve focused too much on your inability to rebound and play team defense and not enough on your impressive array of offensive skills. I&#8217;ve been told that you have such an innate ability to affect the game on the offensive end that it outweighs the things you don&#8217;t bring to the court. I&#8217;ve also been told that playing beside a guy like Reggie Evans, who inhales rebounds like Charlie Sheen inhales whatever the hell he inhales that causes him to makes such stupid decisions, will neutralize your rebounding liability.</p>
<p>So I have to ask&#8230;</p>
<p>WHAT THE F#@K HAPPENED THAT ALLOWED DeMARCUS COUSINS TO GRAB TWO GAME SWAYING OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS RIGHT OVER YOU????????</p>
<p>Sincerely,</p>
<p>Tim W.</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p>Yes, the Raptors lost to the Sacramento Kings 111-108, due in large part to Bargnani allowing rookie center, DeMarcus Cousins, to grab two crucial offensive rebounds right over Bargnani, allowing Sacramento to score both times, including when Sacramento got their first lead of the game?</p>
<p>Think I&#8217;m being too harsh by singling Bargnani out? Did you listen to what Leo Rautins said when it happened both times? I&#8217;m not the only one.</p>
<p>The sad thing was that the Raptors were in control for most of the game. This was really their game to win or lose. It started to go south when shots that were dropping earlier stopped dropping. That happens sometimes and you can live with that. One bright side, other than Reggie&#8217;s continued dominance on the boards, was the play of DeMar DeRozan. Most of the time the Raptors struggled to score, he was usually on the bench. However much his jumper is still inconsistent, his ability to drive to the basket and draw fouls really made this team go, on offense. As expected, he had his hands full with Tyreke Evens, but he did a solid job on him when he was on the floor.</p>
<p>Another bright spot was Jose Calderon finally busting out of his slump, going 5-9 and looking A LOT more confident shooting the ball. And he continued to play much better defense. He&#8217;s still not a stopper, but he&#8217;s not the liability he was last season.</p>
<p>Kleiza was his usual self, scoring within the offense, being aggressive and picking up at least two travelling calls while trying to post up. Note to Linas: When you move your pivot foot, it&#8217;s called travelling. You&#8217;re doing it at least once every game. Watch the tape. Still he played well, again, and hit a very big three late in the game.</p>
<p>The bench, apart from Calderon, didn&#8217;t fair so well. Weems didn&#8217;t shoot well and got smoked by Tyreke Evans one too many times. Barbosa is looking worse and worse as the season goes on (yes, I know it&#8217;s just 3 games), and I&#8217;m seriously wondering whether he should just get the surgery on his wrist now. If he keeps playing like this, he&#8217;s not helping the team, and it&#8217;s not as if they&#8217;re fighting for a playoff spot, now.</p>
<p>David Andersen actually had a good game, but only played 15 minutes. Truth be told, he did allow the Sacramento big men to get inside too easily, at one point, when he got yanked.</p>
<p>Amazingly, Jarrett Jack had a +7 +/- rating yet had a pretty poor game on both ends of the court. Everyone who was talking about how Jack is obviously the best PG on the Raptors should be holding their tongues about now. He&#8217;s not going to continue to play like he has, but this is exactly why I wasn&#8217;t a big fan of trading Calderon away.</p>
<p>And now Bargnani.</p>
<p>The movie Annie Hall is probably a little old for many of you, but there&#8217;s a famous scene where Woody Allen is caught in line beside an opinionated loudmouth who he finally confronts. When the man claims to be an expert on Marshall McLuhan, Woody Allen pulls Marshall McLuhan from behind a poster who dresses the man down for not knowing what he is talking about. Although I&#8217;m not a Woody Allen fan, it&#8217;s a classic scene.</p>
<p>Woody&#8217;s last line in the scene is &#8220;Boy, if only life were like this.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well, yesterday, I, as well as a couple of other people, <a  href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/2010/11/01/gameday-raptors-vs-kings-november-1-11/#comments" target="_blank">were arguing against this self-professed 20 year basketball coach</a> who claimed that blocks are more valuable than rebounds. I, as well as a few others, were understandably shocked that not only someone actually believed that, but they had the responsibility of teaching younger people the game of basketball. I fear for the game, if this is true.</p>
<p>Well, this person actually stated that he&#8217;d rather have 1.5 blocks in a game than 4 rebounds. In what is beyond irony and bordering on divine providence (and this coming from an atheist), Bargnani blocked 2 shots against the Sacramento Kings and grabbed just 2 rebounds. If Bargnani had just grabbed 2 more rebounds, the rebounds he basically gave to Cousins, the Raptors would most likely have won the game. Not only is 4 rebounds worth more than 1.5 blocks, it was the difference between a win and a loss.</p>
<p>Sometimes, life is like that. But I still would have rather had the win.</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><em>Blogger&#8217;s Note: In my continued effort to get as much free Dropbox space as possible, I am going to give a short Dropbox tip at the end up every post. I will do this until I have the full free amount (10 GB). You can sign up and install Dropbox on your computer by </em><a  href="http://www.dropbox.com/referrals/NTM2Mzg2MTk" target="_blank"><em>clicking on this link</em></a><em> or the one on the top right sidebar.</em></p>
<p><em>I signed up for Dropbox about a year ago after </em><a  href="http://kfmonkey.blogspot.com/2010/01/and-were-off-welcome-to-2010.html" target="_blank"><em>reading about it on this blog</em></a><em>.Curious, especially when so many commenters chimed in about how great it was, I signed up and installed it. At first, I simply used it as an extra folder I would keep copies of things in. Nice, but not completely useful. What changed was when I realized that instead of keeping copies in the Dropbox folder, I simply would work out of that folder. I put my Documents folder IN my Dropbox. Now, everything I did was automatically backed up to the Dropbox server, where I could access it anywhere, including on my mobile device. Very cool.</em></p>
<p><em>So my tip: Don&#8217;t save copies to your Dropbox folder. Work out of it. That&#8217;s what it&#8217;s for.</em></p>
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